AI Timelines

Applied to Now THIS is forecasting: understanding Epoch’s Direct Approach by Elliot Mckernon 5d ago

Applied to Scaling of AI training runs will slow down after GPT-5 by Maxime Riché 12d ago

Applied to We are headed into an extreme compute overhang by devrandom 16d ago

Applied to [EA xpost] The Rationale-Shaped Hole At The Heart Of Forecasting by dschwarz 1mo ago

Applied to Was Releasing Claude-3 Net-Negative? by Raymond Arnold 1mo ago

Applied to Timelines to Transformative AI: an investigation by Zershaaneh Qureshi 1mo ago

Applied to Announcing Convergence Analysis: An Institute for AI Scenario & Governance Research by David_Kristoffersson 2mo ago

Applied to Why I take short timelines seriously by Nicholas Kees Dupuis 3mo ago

Applied to OpenAI Credit Account (2510$) by Emirhan BULUT 4mo ago

Applied to Survey of 2,778 AI authors: six parts in pictures by Roger Dearnaley 4mo ago

Applied to Investigating Alternative Futures: Human and Superintelligence Interaction Scenarios by Hiroshi Yamakawa 4mo ago

Applied to Picasso in the Gallery of Babel by Sam Healy 4mo ago

Applied to Investigating Alternative Futures: Human and Superintelligence Interaction Scenarios by Hiroshi Yamakawa 4mo ago

Applied to Review Report of Davidson on Takeoff Speeds (2023) by Trent Kannegieter 5mo ago

Applied to Scale Was All We Needed, At First by Gabe M 5mo ago

Applied to When will GPT-5 come out? Prediction markets vs. Extrapolation by Malte 5mo ago

Applied to Introduction and current research agenda by quila 6mo ago

Applied to AI Timelines by qweered 6mo ago

Applied to GPT-2030 and Catastrophic Drives: Four Vignettes by Raymond Arnold 6mo ago