It seems to me that, for every loss function that we use to train LLMs, we get a very distinct flavor of LLM misalignment. Here’s the summary table, and then we’ll go through the rows separately.
Training stage | Loss function | Flavor of misalignment[1] | Famous examples |
|---|---|---|---|
Pretraining & SFT | Imitative learning (next-token prediction) | “Seven deadly sins” misalignment | |
RLHF & DPO | Human approval | “Glazing” misalignment | |
RLVR | Automatic verifier | “Literal genie” misalignment | |
RLAIF | Approval from another LLM | “Trickster” misalignment |
Warning: I’m not an LLM power-user myself, but rather relying on reports I’ve read. Also, I don’t consider LLM alignment to be my primary area of expertise. I’m open to feedback!
Training stage | Loss function | Misaligned behavior |
|---|---|---|
Pretraining, SFT | Imitative learning (next-token prediction) | Any and all of the vices of humanity |
In imitative learning, the LLM tries to predict...
My current median for AIs fully automating AI R&D is maybe Jan 2031 or perhaps a touch earlier. My views have updated towards towards shorter timelines over 2026. My median for AI R&D parity is around early/mid 2030 (in part due to an update towards thinking we hit parity significantly before "full" automation). By full automation, I mean removing humans from AI R&D would slow things down by <10%.
I discuss something more like my 30th/35th percentile here (roughly my modal scenario).
The dictum "you are an algorithm" clarifies some issues with other things reasoning about the agent, but deciding what to do depends on prior considerations, things like arguments, norms, contracts, facts, values, and also decision theories with their recommended actions or policies. As a result, asking about other instances of the agent (or other things reasoning about the agent) is less natural than asking about other instances of these prior considerations, or other things reasoning about the same prior considerations. These things are also more plentif...
TL;DR: LLMs should give accurate answers. Yet we find their answers are often biased to favor their own values and they don't disclose this in their reasoning. For example, when a user asks how likely the AI bubble is to pop and mentions a potential investment in an AI company, Claude models give lower probabilities when that company is Anthropic rather than OpenAI, mostly without disclosing this influence to the user. On a Fermi-estimation task, Claude models often falsely claim to give unbiased answers in their CoT (see Figure 3 below for an example). We call this covert value leakage and introduce a suite of evaluations that shows it across frontier models and across different kinds of values.
New paper by Truthful AI: Paper, X thread, Website (model responses...
Responding briefly:
(1) Whether we are really measuring own-company bias in AI Bubble. On a literal reading of the AI Bubble question, the investment in the company is irrelevant. The question asks about the probability that the AI bubble pops, and the note about a potential investment is only added for context. However, it's true that models often reinterpret the question to be partly about the specific company. We measure when this happens explicitly in CoT in Figure 8 (b) as "Weighs company specifics". This does explain the entire bias for Gemini, but no...
Claude is mundanely misaligned.
Asked to trim comments in my big project. Deletes 20K lines, halfway done. Gets auto review pointing out a few mistakes. Decides to just WRAP >10K LINES to meet literal line count requirement for the remaining 148 files.
https://github.com/AlexanderMattTurner/agent-glovebox/issues/3858
What if we don't need to solve AI alignment? What if AI systems will just naturally learn human values as they get more capable? John Wentworth explores this possibility, giving it about a 10% chance of working. The key idea is that human values may be a "natural abstraction" that powerful AI systems learn by default.
I think that, to the extent that SFT is determining model outputs, you get an LLM that imitates whatever the SFT data is. (At least to a first approximation.)
So e.g. if you have ruthless-optimizer literal-genie RLVR traces, and you distill (do SFT on) those traces, then you can get a ruthless-optimizer literal-genie LLM, even though mathematically speaking you were doing SFT not RLVR.
Yeah seems reasonable. But the LLMs trained that way are less capable than the LLMs trained using RLVR etc. So here we are.