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AI ALIGNMENT FORUM
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Forecasts (Specific Predictions)
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Applied to
Scaling of AI training runs will slow down after GPT-5
by
Tobias D.
17d
ago
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Applied to
Superforecasting the Origins of the Covid-19 Pandemic
by
DanielFilan
2mo
ago
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Applied to
2024 ACX Predictions: Blind/Buy/Sell/Hold
by
Tobias D.
4mo
ago
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Applied to
Is it justifiable for non-experts to have strong opinions about Gaza?
by
Adam Zerner
4mo
ago
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Applied to
Rating my AI Predictions
by
Robert_AIZI
5mo
ago
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Applied to
Some of my predictable updates on AI
by
Raymond Arnold
7mo
ago
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Applied to
Superforecasting the premises in “Is power-seeking AI an existential risk?”
by
Raymond Arnold
7mo
ago
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Applied to
Road to Proto-AGI 2024
by
Maik Zywitza
7mo
ago
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Applied to
My AI Predictions 2023 - 2026
by
HunterJay
7mo
ago
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Applied to
Will early transformative AIs primarily use text? [Manifold question]
by
Raymond Arnold
7mo
ago
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Applied to
AI Forecasting: Two Years In
by
Ruben Bloom
9mo
ago
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Applied to
Non-loss of control AGI-related catastrophes are out of control too
by
duck_master
10mo
ago
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Applied to
[Prediction] Humanity will survive the next hundred years
by
duck_master
10mo
ago
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Applied to
Do not miss the cutoff for immortality! There is a probability that you will live forever as an immortal superintelligent being and you can increase your odds by convincing others to make achieving the technological singularity as quickly and safely as possible the collective goal/project of all of humanity, Similar to "Fable of the Dragon-Tyrant."
by
Oliver--Klozoff
11mo
ago
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Applied to
What will GPT-2030 look like?
by
DanielFilan
1y
ago
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Applied to
Yudkowsky vs Hanson on FOOM: Whose Predictions Were Better?
by
Raymond Arnold
1y
ago
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Applied to
PaLM-2 & GPT-4 in "Extrapolating GPT-N performance"
by
Lukas Finnveden
1y
ago
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Applied to
Before smart AI, there will be many mediocre or specialized AIs
by
Raymond Arnold
1y
ago
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Applied to
I bet $500 on AI winning the IMO gold medal by 2026
by
Ruben Bloom
1y
ago