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All of wunan's Comments + Replies

Discussion with Eliezer Yudkowsky on AGI interventions

Context for anyone who's not aware:

Nerd sniping is a slang term that describes a particularly interesting problem that is presented to a nerd, often a physicist, tech geek or mathematician. The nerd stops all activity to devote attention to solving the problem, often at his or her own peril

Here's the xkcd comic which coined the term.

1Adam Shimi3y

Thanks, I sometimes forget not everyone knows the term. :)

Are we in an AI overhang?

wunan5y40

In the Gwern quote, what does "Even the dates are more or less correct!" refer to? Which dates were predicted for what?

gwern5y120

Look at, for example, Moravec. His extrapolation assumes that supercomputer will not be made available for AI work until AI work has already been proven successful (correct) and that AI will have to wait for hardware to become so powerful that even a grad student can afford it with $1k (also correct, see AlexNet), and extrapolating from ~1998, estimates:

At the present rate, computers suitable for humanlike robots will appear in the 2020s.

Guess what year today is.