Reality Is Normal

Written by Zack M. Davis, Vladimir Nesov, et al. last updated

If at any point some truth should seem shocking or bizarre, it's your brain that labels it as such; reality simply is what it is. Surprise is the measure of a poor hypothesis; a good model puts probability mass on outcomes that are more likely to actually occur. If your model of reality consistently makes bad predictions — if the real world seems utterly strange or surreal to your intuitions — then it's your intuitions that need to change; the world isn't going to. Reality is normal.

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